Syllabus/achievement requirements

Books and compendiums can be bought in Akademika bookstore at Blindern campus. You will need a valid semester card to buy compendiums.

Books

Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J.-S. (2015). Mastering Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect. Princeton University Press

Online articles

Acharya, A., Blackwell, M., and Sen, M. (2016). The political legacy of american slavery. Journal of Politics, 78 (3): 621-641

Acharya, A., Blackwell, M., and Sen, M. (2015). Explaining causal findings without bias: Detecting and assessing direct effects. American Political Science Review

Altonji, J. G., Elder, T. E., and Taber, C. R. (2005). Selection on observed and unobserved variables: Assessing the effectiveness of catholic schools. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1):151–183

Aronow, Peter M., and Cyrus Samii. (2016). "Does Regression Produce Representative Estimates of Causal Effects?." American Journal of Political Science 60.1 (2016): 250-267.

Bechtel, M. M., Hangartner, D., and Schmid, L. (2015). Does compulsory voting increase support for leftist policy? American Journal of Political Science, 60(3):752-767

Blackwell, M. (2013). A selection bias approach to sensitity analysis for causal effects. Political Analysis, 22(1):169 – 182

Cant´ u, F. and Saiegh, S. M. (2011). Fraudulent democracy? an analysis of argentina’s infamous decade using supervised machine learning. Political Analysis, 19(4):409–433

Caughey, D. and Sekhon, J. S. (2011). Elections and the regression discontinuity design: Lessons from close u.s. house races, 1942 - 2008. Political Analysis, 19:385

Chadefaux, T. (2014). Early warning signals for war in the news. Journal of Peace Research, 51(1):5–18

Diermeier, D., Godbout, J.-F., Yu, B., and Kaufmann, S. (2012). Language and ideology in congress. British Journal of Political Science, 42(01):31–55

Finseraas, H. (2015). The effect of a booming local economy in early childhood on the propensity to vote: Evidence from a natural experiment. British Journal of Political Science, FirstView:1–21

Hill, D.W. and Jones, Z. M. (2014). An empirical evaluation of explanations for state repression. American Political Science Review, 108(03):661–687

Iacus, S. M., King, G., and Porro, G. (2012). Causal inference without balance checking: Coarsed exact matching. Political Analysis, 20(1):1 – 24

Imai, K., Keele, L., Tingley, D., and Yamamoto, T. (2011). Unpacking the black box of causality: Learning about causal mechanisms from experimental and observational studies. American Political Science Review, 105(4):765 – 789

Keele, L. and Minozzi, W. (2013). How much is minnesota like wisconsin? assumptions and counterfactuals in causal inference with observational data. Political Analysis, 21(1):193 – 216

Keele, L. (2015). The statistics of causal inference: A view from political methodology. Political Analysis, 23(3):313 – 335

King, G. and Zeng, L. (2007). When can history be our guide? the pitfalls of counterfactual inference. International Studies Quarterly, 51(1):183 – 210

King, G., Lucas, C. and A. Nielsen, R. (2016), The Balance-Sample Size Frontier in Matching Methods for Causal Inference. American Journal of Political Science. doi:10.1111/ajps.12272

Longo, M., Canetti, D., and Hite-Rubin, N. (2014). A checkpoint effect? evidence from a natural experiment on travel restrictions in the west bank. American Journal of Political Science, 58(4):1006–1023

Muchlinski, D., Siroky, D., He, J., and Kocher, M. (2016). Comparing random forest with logistic regression for predicting class-imbalanced civil war onset data. Political Analysis, 24(1):87–103

Murray, M. P. (2006). Avoiding invalid instruments and coping with weak instruments. The journal of economic perspectives, 20(4):111–132

Samii, C. (2016). Causal empiricism in quantitative research. The Journal of Politics, 78(3):000–000

Sekhol, J. S. (2009). Opiates for the matches: Matching methods for causal inference. Annual Review of Political Science, 12:487 – 508

Shmueli, G. (2010). To explain or to predict? Statistical science,  August 2010, Vol.25(3), pp.289-310

Skovron, Christopher, and Rocío Titiunik. (2016). "A practical guide to regression discontinuity designs in political science". Working paper. Link: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~titiunik/papers/SkovronTitiunik2015.pdf

Sovey, A. J. and Green, D. P. (2011). Instrumental variables estimation in political science: A readers’ guide. American Journal of Political Science, 55(1):188 – 200

Ward, M. D., Greenhill, B. D., and Bakke, K. M. (2010). The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts. Journal of Peace Research, 47(4):363 – 375

Extra non-compulsory Reading

This literature is not part of the required reading. The purpose of the recommended reading is to broaden and deepen the understanding of the subjects addressed in the course.

Angrist, J. and Pischke, J. S. (2010). The credibility revolution in empirical economics: ow better research design is taking the con out of econometrics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 24(2):3

Clarke, K. A. (2009). Return of the phantom menace: Omitted variable bias in political research. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 26(1):46–66

James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., and Tibshirani, R. (2013). An introduction to statistical learning, volume 6. Springer. Link to free online version here

Keele, L. and Stevenson, R. T. (2014). The perils of the all cause model. Working Paper

Keele, L. and Titiunik, R. (2015). Geographic boundaries as regression discontinuities. Political Analysis, 23(1):127 – 155

Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., and Sergenti, E. (2004). Economic shocks and civil conflict: An instrumental variables approach. Journal of political Economy, 112(4):725–753

Morgan, S. L. and Winship, C. (2015). Counterfactuals and Causal Inferences: Methods and Principles for Social Research. Analytical Methods for Social Research. Cambridge University Press, second edition (Chapter 8, pages 267 - 290)

Online articles:

Published Nov. 22, 2016 10:55 AM - Last modified Feb. 2, 2017 1:46 PM